Exam PMP topic 1 question 775 discussion

Thought this is B: WBS and identifying activity cost.

The project involves a new and innovative capability, and while the requirements are defined, the solution design is still evolving. In such situations of uncertainty, the best way to anticipate budget impacts is to: Use scenario planning to evaluate multiple potential solution designs, Estimate costs for each scenario to understand budget implications, Use those insights to inform and adjust future budgeting cycles (especially since the company uses a 2-year budgeting cycle). This approach enables proactive risk management and ensures that executives are prepared for different cost possibilities.

Microsoft copilot says, Answer is C. "Considering the need for proactive planning and alignment with the project’s innovative nature, I recommend Option C: Perform scenario planning on each of the solution designs and incorporate estimates into the next budgeting cycle. This approach allows the project manager to consider different scenarios and make informed decisions while managing the budget effectively."

The question framed in a way that the project solution is only beginning. the stakeholder wants to know how can we predict the cost. A: is out of the question, it is more of a reactive method. C also looks like reaction response as well because they only incorporate the estimates in the NEXT budget cycle. B is the best proactive approach in anticipating the budget impact at that point of time.

I see the only option A, the others are not possible.

Developing a work breakdown structure (WBS) and performing activity-based cost estimating is a proactive approach to anticipate the budget impacts of the solution. By breaking down the project into smaller, manageable components (WBS) and estimating the costs associated with each activity, the project manager can gain a more detailed understanding of the potential budget requirements. This allows for a more accurate assessment of costs related to the evolving solution design and helps in identifying areas where adjustments may be needed to align with the budget constraints.

The project manager should opt for **Option C: Perform scenario planning on each of the solution designs and incorporate estimates into the next budgeting cycle**. This is because scenario planning allows the project manager to anticipate different outcomes and prepare for them. By incorporating these estimates into the next budgeting cycle, the project manager can ensure that sufficient funds are allocated to the project, reducing the risk of budget overruns. Remember, effective budget management involves anticipating future costs and planning accordingly. (Option B) are valuable project management techniques but may not be as effective in this context, where the solution design is still evolving.

C is out (next budget cycle is 2 years later) B is out (design not complete, no wbs possible) A is better (ensure the boss later in project)

Detailed analysis: Breaking down the project into smaller, manageable tasks through a WBS allows for a more granular cost estimation based on specific activities and resources required. Accurate predictions: Activity-based cost estimating considers not only direct costs (materials, labor) but also indirect costs (overheads, support), leading to more precise budget predictions. Early identification of risks: Early cost estimation through WBS and activity-based methods can identify potential cost overruns and allow for adjustments to the solution design or budget before incurring significant expenses.

Performing scenario planning on various solution designs allows the project manager to analyze and forecast potential budget impacts for different design alternatives. This process enables the estimation of costs associated with each design scenario, providing a basis for understanding potential budget overruns or adjustments required.

B. Develop a work breakdown structure (WBS) and perform activity-based cost estimating. Rationale: A WBS allows the project manager to break down the project into smaller, more manageable tasks or work packages. By doing so, the project manager can gain a clearer understanding of the tasks that need to be accomplished and the associated costs. Activity-based cost estimating allows for a detailed assessment of the costs associated with each activity in the WBS. This approach enables a more granular and accurate understanding of potential costs, helping to address concerns about exceeding the budget. By refining and validating these estimates as the solution design progresses, the project manager can more effectively manage budgetary concerns.

C. Perform scenario planning on each of the solution designs and incorporate estimates into the next budgeting cycle incorporate the estimates after 2 years? HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!

This is a highly predictive scenario. Define WBS and estiamte.

C. Perform scenario planning on each of the solution designs and incorporate estimates into the next budgeting cycle

If we are in the solution design phase, how can I possibly know what work is going to be needed for the WBS? I'm pretty sure it's C.

Option C (performing scenario planning and incorporating estimates into the next budgeting cycle) is valuable for future budget cycles, but it may not directly address the immediate need to anticipate budget impacts for the current project.

B. Develop a work breakdown structure (WBS) and perform activity-based cost estimating. The project manager should develop a WBS, which would break down the project into smaller, more manageable components, allowing for a more accurate estimate of cost and resources. Following the WBS, activity-based cost estimating could be performed. This technique will allow the project manager to estimate the cost of each activity in the WBS, thereby creating a more accurate budget estimate. This approach will also provide a baseline for monitoring and controlling the project costs as the project progresses.